FP&A & Financial Modeling3 min readUpdated September 2026

Cube vs. Mosaic for Federal Contract Forecasting and Indirect Rates

A federal or defense contractor plans around individual contracts and CLINs, each potentially billed under a different contract type, cost-plus, fixed-price, or time-and-materials, and indirect cost pools, overhead, fringe, and general and administrative, that have to be calculated and applied consistently across every contract. Neither Cube nor Mosaic is a compliance system, and getting that distinction right matters before you evaluate either one.

Here are the questions a GovCon finance lead actually needs answered.

Vendors Covered in this Article

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Do Cube or Mosaic replace a DCAA-compliant accounting system?

No, and this is the single most important thing to understand before evaluating either one. A contractor doing meaningful cost-plus federal work typically needs a timekeeping and accounting system built to DCAA compliance standards, tracking direct labor by contract, indirect cost pools, and an audit trail that a government auditor can trace.

Cube and Mosaic sit above that compliant system of record to help forecast and report, they don't provide the underlying compliant timekeeping and cost accounting infrastructure itself. If you don't have that foundation in place yet, that's the higher-priority gap to close before a forecasting tool choice matters much.

How do indirect cost pools affect contract-level forecasting?

Overhead, fringe, and general and administrative rates get applied to direct costs to determine a contract's fully burdened cost, and those rates are typically calculated annually but should be monitored throughout the year against budget, since a rate that drifts from what was proposed on active contracts can erode margin on cost-reimbursable work. A forecast that applies last year's provisional rates without checking them against current actual indirect costs will misstate margin on every open contract using those rates.

Track provisional versus actual indirect rates throughout the year, not just at year-end true-up, so a drifting rate gets caught and addressed before it compounds across every active contract on the books.

How should different contract types be forecast differently?

A cost-plus contract's revenue is tied closely to allowable costs incurred, with fee added on top, so revenue and cost move together in a way that a fixed-price contract's revenue doesn't; a fixed-price contract's margin depends entirely on managing cost against a set price, which means cost overruns hit margin directly rather than being reimbursed. A single blended forecasting approach across contract types will misrepresent the real risk profile of a book that mixes cost-plus, fixed-price, and time-and-materials work.

Model each contract type's revenue and margin logic separately, since treating a fixed-price contract like a cost-plus one, or the reverse, produces a forecast that doesn't reflect how the government actually pays for that specific type of work.

Keep these points in the forecast for each contract:

  • Forecast cost-plus revenue from allowable costs incurred plus fee, so revenue and cost move together.
  • Forecast fixed-price margin against the set price, since cost overruns hit margin directly instead of being reimbursed.
  • Apply overhead, fringe, and general and administrative rates to direct costs, and monitor them through the year against what was proposed.
  • Keep the DCAA-compliant accounting system as the system of record and forecast on top of it, not in its place.
  • Trace every forecast number to contract-level cost, funding, and burn rate so a contracting officer or auditor can follow it.

When does Cube make sense for a GovCon's forecasting layer?

If your program managers or contracts team already track contract-level cost, funding, and burn rate in a spreadsheet that ties correctly to your compliant accounting system's data, Cube's approach of syncing that spreadsheet keeps the forecasting logic where it's understood and auditable, which matters when a contracting officer or auditor may want to trace a number.

This auditability is worth particular weight in a GovCon setting, since a spreadsheet formula is generally easier to walk a government auditor through than a dashboard's internal calculation, and that trail can matter during an incurred cost submission review.

When does Mosaic make more sense instead?

Once you're managing enough active contracts that consolidating funding status, burn rate, and indirect rate application across all of them in a spreadsheet becomes unwieldy, a dashboard rolling that up can help program and finance leadership see the full portfolio. Confirm in a demo that Mosaic can carry your specific indirect rate structure and contract-type-specific revenue logic accurately, since a generic revenue recognition template is unlikely to match federal contract accounting out of the box.

Also confirm how the platform handles a contract that changes type partway through its life, for example a fixed-price contract with a later cost-reimbursable modification, since that kind of change is common enough on federal work that a rigid template built for only one contract type will need a manual workaround.

Where does Jirav fit a contractor planning to grow?

Jirav's driver-based approach is useful when you're pursuing new contract awards and need to model what winning them actually requires in cleared personnel, facility, and indirect cost pool capacity, since staffing a federal contract, particularly one requiring security clearances, involves lead time and constraints that a flat headcount assumption misses entirely. A contractor that wins an award before confirming it can actually staff the cleared positions on time risks a real performance problem in the first months of the contract, well before the forecasting tool choice matters at all.

Executive Capability Standard

What Good Looks Like

A well-run federal contractor forecasts each contract by its actual type, cost-plus, fixed-price, or time-and-materials, with indirect rates monitored against actual costs throughout the year rather than left at the provisional rate until an annual true-up.

Building The Capability (5-Stage Skill Ladder)

1. Learn:Learn how your current indirect rate structure works and whether provisional rates are being tracked against actual costs throughout the year.
2. Do Manually:Build a spreadsheet forecasting each contract by its specific type and tracking indirect rate drift, updated monthly by hand from your compliant accounting system's data.
3. Delegate:Assign a contracts or program finance lead to own the monthly contract-level review and flag any indirect rate or contract burn trending off plan.
4. Automate:Sync your compliant accounting system's contract and indirect rate data into Cube or Mosaic so contract-level forecasting updates without a manual export each month.
5. Buy:Standardize compliant accounting, contract tracking, and forecasting on one connected framework so new contract pursuits are modeled against realistic cleared-staffing and indirect cost capacity.

How to Get Started

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can Cube or Mosaic calculate our indirect rates for us?

No, indirect rate calculation should come from your compliant accounting system following your disclosed cost accounting practices, typically reviewed by your accountant or a GovCon-specialist advisor. Both forecasting tools can incorporate that rate once it's calculated; neither one determines the rate itself.

Should a cost-plus and a fixed-price contract be forecast the same way?

No. A cost-plus contract's revenue tracks allowable costs plus fee, while a fixed-price contract's margin depends on managing actual cost against a set price. Model each contract type's revenue and risk profile separately rather than applying one blended forecasting approach across a mixed contract portfolio.

Do we need a specialized GovCon accounting system before evaluating Cube or Mosaic?

If you do meaningful cost-reimbursable federal work, yes, a DCAA-compliant timekeeping and accounting foundation should come first. Cube and Mosaic are forecasting and reporting layers that sit on top of that compliant system, not a replacement for it.

About the numbers

This guide doesn't quote a sourced benchmark. Figures in it are estimates or general guidance, so check them against your own numbers.

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